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Finland Map for Since cometary orbits are so susceptible to change due to gravitational and nongravitational effects, it cannot be assumed that a calculated orbit is applicable a long time before or after the observations which were the basis of the orbit determination. In the case of the Bethlehem Star, our orbit suggests that the comet had a relatively close encounter with Saturn on the way toward the inner solar system and so the orbital elements before that would have been different. Chronological Considerations Before we consider the comet and its orbit in more detail, it is important to pause to ill in some of the chronological gaps in our knowledge based on our orbit. Our orbit suggests that the predawn celestial show in the east ended a couple of days after the birth, namely on October , and that this would have become evident to observers by October We should therefore reckon on the Magi departing their homeland at some point between October and A quick departure is strongly supported by the observation that at that time the comet, having shifted to the western sky, becomes capable of functioning as a westward prompt or guide for the Magi. In light of this and our earlier conclusions regarding the duration of the Magi’s journey approximately ? days and their stay ? full days, leaving on the rd?th day, we are in a position to set out two scenarios regarding the chronology of the Magi’s visit to Bethlehem either A it occurred in the week running up to the holy family’s trip to the temple on November that is, the week of November or B it took place in the week immediately following it that is, sometime in the week following Mary and Joseph’s return from Jerusalem on the afternoon of November that is, November ?December . In Scenario A, assuming a departure date between October and , the Magi’s camel caravan advanced approximately ? miles per day toward Jerusalem and arrived in Bethlehem between November and , and they departed on or before the th. In Scenario B, having left Babylon on October or , the camel caravan got miles closer to Jerusalem each day, and the Magi arrived in Bethlehem late on November or on the th, in the immediate aftermath of Mary and Joseph’s return from Jerusalem, and departed for Bab ylon between December and In our analysis we shall consider two representative dates for the arrival of the Magi in Bethlehem November an average journey speed of about miles per day if they left Babylon on October and November an average journey speed of about miles per day if they left Bab ylon on October , BC. Finland Map 2016.